Friday has left us overbought; however, a breakout scenario still seems imminent.
If (SPY) can in fact overcome 140 (should earnings continue to meet lowered expectations) 144 may be much tougher. To the right is a five year chart that helps illustrate why - basically 144 represents a key breach in an otherwise seemingly healthy 5 year trend.
Here is a
chart showing
the number of
S&P stocks trading
above their 200 day
moving average.
Below are some more stocks worth watching.
Fluor (FLR) - nice reverse head & shoulders pattern.
If this looks like a bullish opportunity to you, consider debit spreads or calls with an expiration of JUL or OCT and an initial price target of 170 (all-time high set back on Nov 26, 2007).
3M (MMM) - broke out to the upside and closed above 200 day moving average. Potential to revisit 86.
Research in Motion (RIMM) - might be getting ready to have another go at resistance.
Keep in mind some of these are currently overbought so you might want to be patient.
Here is a short clip I recommend watching. It provides a little insight into Dan Sheridan's thought process and how he might have played Google (GOOG) before earnings.
http://www.cboe.com/tradtool/webcast.aspx?movieid=36693&channel=1252
Sunday, April 20, 2008
SPY | FLR | MMM | RIMM
Labels:
200 day MA,
breakout,
FLR,
MMM,
overbought,
reverse head and shoulders,
RIMM,
SPY
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