After all the break-downs that have occurred over the last couple weeks, now seems like a good time take a step back and look at the big picture.
Major Indicies Only:
DIA: Best looking chart of the bunch. Everyone is watching this trendline and it will likely set the stage for a large rally - even if it's a short-lived one.
SPY: Things certainly look a little more obvious with hindsight on our side - such as the retracement back to it's long-term trend line before immediately being rejected. It reminds me GOOG ....and probably a thousand others. I have now committed this pattern to memory.
QQQQ: Similar to DIA.
I leave you with this; borrowed from a book that I'm currently reading (even though it was published in 1993):
Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management
The market does not know you exist. You can do nothing to influence it.
You can only control your behavior.
The ocean does not care about your welfare, but it has no wish to hurt you
either. You may feel joy on a sunny day, when a gentle wind pushes your
sailboat where you want it to go. You may feel panic on a stormy day when
the ocean pushes your boat toward the rocks. Your feelings about the ocean
exist only in your mind. They threaten your survival when you let your feelings
rather than intellect control your behavior.
A sailor cannot control the ocean, but he can control himself. He studies
currents and weather patterns. He learns safe sailing techniques and gains
experience. He knows when to sail and when to stay in the harbor. A successful
sailor uses his intelligence.
An ocean can be useful-you can fish in it and use its surface to get to
other islands. An ocean can be dangerous-you can drown in it. The more
rational your approach, the more likely you are to get what you want. When
you act out your emotions, you cannot focus on the reality of the ocean.
A trader has to study trends and reversals in the market the way a sailor
studies the ocean. He must trade on a small scale while learning to handle
himself in the market. You can never control the market but you can learn to
control yourself.
1 comment:
the market does not know you exist. thats a good one.
nice site, cheers !
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