Year-to-date, DBC has done well bouncing off of its 50 day moving average, which may present a good entry point - needless to say it's back down near it's 50 day MA. If you use moving average as an entry point make sure to place a stop under said MA. If this level is breached (your reason for entering the trade) then you should exit the trade immediately.
Keep in mind that this is primarily a commentary on the chart - there are a lot of fundamentals that need to be considered. A large portion of DBC is made up of gold and oil so if your outlook on these is bleak, steer clear. Personally, I don't like the outlook on gold and nobody can predict oil. 'Expert' estimates still range between $80-$140 / barrel. Bottom line, if you choose to play DBC wait to see if it bounces off the MA, not before.
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DBC - TOP 10 HOLDINGS ( 107.81% OF TOTAL ASSETS) |
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In terms of the broad market, keep this on the radar.
Current Put/Call Ratio:
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